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Finance

Investment Risk Simulator

Most investors think in returns; pros think in risk-adjusted returns. Build a portfolio across equity, debt and gold, then watch the live distribution of outcomes — Sharpe ratio, loss probability, and the drawdowns you'd actually have to sit through.

10,00,000
10yrs
yrs
Asset allocationΣ 100%
60%
%

Long-run μ ≈ 12% / σ ≈ 18%

30%
%

Long-run μ ≈ 7% / σ ≈ 4%

10%
%

Long-run μ ≈ 8% / σ ≈ 14%

800
7

Portfolio profile

Expected return

10.1%

annualised

Volatility (σ)

11.0%

annualised

Sharpe ratio

0.47

vs 5% risk-free

Loss probability

0.5%

ending below ₹10,00,000

Typical max drawdown

15.6%

Worst-case drawdown

27.7%

95th percentile

Pessimistic (5th)

₹14,45,488

Median outcome

₹25,67,047

Optimistic (95th)

₹45,17,512

Sharpe ratio measures excess return per unit of risk; above 1.0 is generally considered attractive. Drawdowns measure peak-to-trough drops along the path — an honest answer to "how much pain might I have to sit through?"

5th–95th percentileMedian portfolio value
011.3L22.6L33.9L45.2LY0Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7Y8Y9Y10

Peak: ₹45,17,512

₹7,51,243₹36,03,262₹64,55,280
5th: ₹14,45,488Median: ₹25,67,04795th: ₹45,17,512

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Frequently asked

What's a 'good' Sharpe ratio?
Above 1.0 is generally considered attractive. 0.5–1.0 is decent. Below 0.5 means you're not being paid much extra for the risk you're taking.
Why does loss probability stay >0% even with debt-heavy portfolios?
Even debt funds have small drawdowns over short horizons. Stretch the tenure to 7+ years and watch the loss probability collapse for diversified portfolios.

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